What happened on the Guadalupe — in public records, step by step

Two catastrophic floods hit the same basin twelve months apart. This investigation examines both using gauge records, driller’s logs, monitoring wells, LiDAR, and the State’s own filings — every figure sourced, every computation reproducible. Each part below stands on its own. Start wherever your question is.

The Investigations

Six parts. Three are live and readable now; three are in preparation. They are numbered in the order they were written, not the order they must be read — Part VI will publish ahead of Parts II and III.

Part I

Mockingbird

Did the rain account for the water? — a public-records examination of rainfall, discharge, soil, and the river’s own numbers, step by step.

Enter the investigation →

Part II · Coming Soon

Foundations

The geology and makeup of the Texas Hill Country aquifer formations, their history, and this investigation’s own in-depth study of 60 years of USGS, Texas A&M, and TWDB documentation.

Part III · Coming Soon

Tsunami

The minute-by-minute events that led up to and transpired along the South Fork of the Guadalupe River and downstream July 4, 2025, followed by the behaviors of city officials afterward.

Part IV · The 2026 Storm Ran the Experiment